Dynamics of defeat of BJP in Kairana

It is a truth universally acknowledged by varying degrees of frankness and disingenuousness that Hindutva party BJP’s forte is rank communalism. The resultant division of the society is a feather in the black cap modeled on Mussolini fascism. . However, now the target in 2019 general election is not provincial, NW UP or Gujarat but the whole India. As ala 2002 the interest in building temple at Ayodhya is sagging. Milking the same old family cow doesn’t yield much after so many deliveries. A wholesale repeat of 2002 Gujarat or 2013 Mujaffarnagar could. The Jats and Muslims had lived together in harmony and peace in Muzaffarnagar, Kairana, etc, and had maintained it during the most turbulent years of partition, too. Muzaffarnagar and areas around were untouched by communal virus until the duo Narendra Modi and Amit Shah came on the scene in 2013in preparation for general election next year. It was dreadfully ominous and proved what was most feared. They sowed the first seeds of communalism and hatred by focusing the susceptible Rajputs and Jats how their honour was hurt. “For the integrity of the community, the answer is Modi. Not the government who gives compensation to those who killed Jats.” [1]This way of connecting events was first ever of its kind in the north western UP. It came from the Hindutva stormy petrel in UP, Amit Shah. His arrival in UP and marking his initiating poll campaign by visiting Ayodhya Babri mosque site where the Ram temple is coming up was enough of provocation. It must have been so alarming that pat came the warning: khuni prachar, dharm ka thekaydar, abki bar atyachar. This was a repeat of the revival of the temple dispute at the time of the tenth anniversary of Babri demolition in 2002 in Gujarat. Use of religion for election windfall. “Bloody campaign, authorized by religion, this time cruelty, violence.” Modi was a pracharak or leader of the RSS and his campaign was based on religion and the logical outcome was cruelty and violence. The warning was sinister in view of what Shah told next: “This is the time to avenge. The leader standing next to me” [Suresh Rana and Hukum Singh] have also been humiliated. A man can sleep hungry but not humiliated. This is the time to take revenge by voting for Modi. This will defeat both the governments, the one at the centre and UP government who lathi-charged and tortured our leaders.” He was speaking at Raajhar, Lissad, forty kilometers from Muzaffarnagar. Next stop was at the Raja Rani Hall of Shamli. Among prominent khap leaders present there was Ajit Singh accused of fanning violence in September 2013. Another leader was Udayvir Pehelka. He demanded two things: “If Amit Shah has come to talk to us, he must promise that he will help us withdraw all the false cases against the Jats and secondly, address a national problem, which is to control the population of this country, else soon enough votes from our community will not count and only they [Muslims] will be present everywhere.” Both are political demands which Modi has in the past shown proclivity to handle with deft. In 2002 he had sent DG Vanzara who had arrested the culprits behind Naroda Patia massacres. But he treated them with the food meant for the government officers in the government guest house and then left the arrested killers and rapists. This he could not have done without the approval of the Chief Minister Modi. Even in grave charges against some of them like Dr Maya Kodnani, Modi went soft and refused to appeal for harsher punishment when Shiv Sena leaders put pressure on him. The second demand is also political and Modi has shown great vigour in it. He has always passed slur on the Muslims for producing large number of children who are threat to development in Gujarat. He even insulted them by calling them unseemly as they appear in dirty apparel by the side of roads with their work of repairing vehicles and hence greasy. This is a fear psychosis of the RSS paranoia over the greater rate of children born among the Muslims. Shah took the stage and gave the message loud and clear: “This election is the election of honour and revenge.” “And when we protect them [Rana and Singh, Sangeet Singh Som], we are called rioters because Mullah Mulayam is busy defending the minority.” Next attack of Shah was on the food Muslims eat and how they procure it through their community butchers who have prospered by exporting meat. He quoted Modi “stop pink revolution and herald in green revolution.” Shah’s jibes came sharp and stinging: “Beggars have turned millionaires by running butcher houses.” Shah ended by entering into another controversial theme of the three Indian soldiers who according to defense minister AK Antony were beheaded by Indian soldiers and not by the Pakistan army: “When Narendra Modi comes to power on May 16, Pakistan will learn a lesson for beheading our three soldiers.” “Utter Pradesh has always played a role in a change. This time western Utter Pradesh must ensure that Modi comes to power.” The strategy that the RSS employed was marked with intimidation and anti constitutional mechanism to win election. To boost the morale of its cadres, the RSS had decided to hold dand yudhs (where cadres will display their lathi-wielding skills) in every city on March 30, 2014 as part of its Hindu New Year celebrations and on April 1 to mark the birth anniversary of founder K B Hedgewar. Though the RSS’s stated focus is “vote bane (voters are registered)”, “vote kate (fake voters are removed)”, and “vote pade (votes are cast)”, sources say most of the effort is to ensure the second, “vote kate”. They also made it clear that the cadres would not hesitate to defend themselves and become aggressive if need arises. The photos covering the news were really frightening. They were daring to appropriate the role of police and paramilitary forces. After five years another election is round the corner in 2019 the same situation prevails. The situation has invariably returned to 2013 in Western UP as BJP spokesperson Sambit Patra claimed that his party candidate’s defeat in Kairana bypolls was the defeat of Hindus and victory of Muslims. “If one religious group (Muslims) decides to polarize, then other groups (Hindus) too will polarize. This shouldn’t happen but if one group has voted en masse for a particular candidate, then please mark my words this will have its effect across India.” That is in 2019 elections. [2] There are enough forebodings of it and they are assuming ominous shapes like Dalits and Naxalites blamed for possible attack on Modi ala Rajiv Gandhi. The same old threat of Soharabiddin Shaikh, Ishrat Jahan, and others on the way to kill Modi, etc. As in north western UP in 2013-14 campaign so is now the RSS is directly intervening. One aspect of it was the invitation to former President Pranab Mukherjee to address the third year cadets of RSS at the headquarters of RSS on June 7. It was a testing of the water on which RSS wanted its choice of PM to sail as the wind had turned against Modi after the Karnataka and Kairana failure. What if Mukherjee could be a candidate for the post of Prime Minister whom an alliance of parties including BJP would accept? Sanjay Raut is active member of Shiv Sena and a long time member of Parliament. He is also the editor of Shiv Sena mouthpiece Saamna. He and his party do struggle for their distinct identity of being Hindutva but with a flair for their own position under the sun. His party is at loggerheads with BJP government. He thinks that in case BJP cannot win next election they would support Mukherjee as their candidate for the PM’s post. The other fallout of Kairana defeat is that the RSS conclave began with dinner hosted by the PM Modi on Friday June 15, 2018 to RSS pracharaks at Surajkund, Haryana. The site is close to north western UP that has the background of newly sown seeds of hatred of Jats and Rajputs for their erstwhile neighbours with whom they had good relations until the pogroms replicated in September 2013. The eyesore is of course the alliance between the parties who supported Tabassum Hasan. It is most probable the BJP would target the alliance by creating communal tension which had always fetched votes to the party. One must remember that those behind bomb blasts in 2006-2008 were RSS pracharaks. Through the pracharaks RSS would deploy the most tried and tested strategy of dividing people on communal lines and reaping the fruits of hatred at the hustings of fast approaching parliamentary election of 2019. However, all the tactics of the ruling party are less than democratic in nature, physical force through the baton, riots and pogroms. Chances of democracy surviving is bleak. What with secretariat building, dividers and statues, a toll plaza being painted in saffron colour and Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis giving the chief of Siddhivinayak temple trust a junior minister's status! Fadnavis was purportedly heard telling BJP workers to use "saam, daam, dand, bhed (negotiation, money, punishment and division)" to win the bypoll [3] Thus there is likelihood of creating more divisions to win election. Every division will mean more bloodshed. ------- 1]http://scroll.in/article/this-election-is-a-fight-for-honour-and-revenge-amit-shah-tells-jat-audience-in-riot-areas?id=660535 The RSS prayer includes one, “O Lord, give us such might that no power on earth can even challenge.” On ideology of RSS http://indianexpress.com/article/india/politics/narendra-modi-attacks-rahul-gandhi-says-his-entire-family-has-never-been-able-to-fight-bjp-ideology/99/ [2] Post Kairana defeat, Sambit Patra on Live TV reveals BJP’s dangerous plan for 2019 Lok Sabha polls and it’s no Freudian slip http://www.jantakareporter.com/india/post-kairana-defeat-sambit-patra-on-live-tv-reveals-bjps-dangerous-plan-for-2019-lok-sabha-polls-and-its-no-freudian-slip/189864/ … via @JantaKaReporter [3] https://www.ndtv.com/mumbai-news/devendra-fadnavis-gives-siddhivinayak-temple-trust-chief-mos-status-in-maharashtra-cabinet-1869879?pfrom=home-topscroll